Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CDP
0 - 1
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 3
PUE
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CSD
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 1
CSD
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CDP
0 - 2
LOT
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 0
NTA
50%
26%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
CSD
2 - 1
LOT
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |