Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CDP
2 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
2 - 2
CON
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 2
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
CDP
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LOT
1 - 2
CDP
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
NTA
3 - 2
LOT
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
LOT
1 - 1
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 2
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
CDP
1 - 3
LOT
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |