Concepción vs Independiente Cauquenes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
FVC
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DFC
0 - 3
CON
8%
13%
78%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
LIM
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 3
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 2
CSD
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
7 - 0
UBE
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
LIM
3 - 3
CAU
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 3
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GVE
4 - 2
CAU
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |