Concepción vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
23%
28%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 1
CON
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 1
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
IBE
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
GVE
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GVE
0 - 1
VAL
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
GVE
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
GVE
4 - 1
LAU
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
GVE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |