Concepción vs Everton Viña del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 0
CON
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Everton Viña del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 1
MAG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
DCO
2 - 2
EVE
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 1
CSD
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CUR
4 - 0
EVE
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 0
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |