Concepción vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 0
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
FVC
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ACC
3 - 2
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CHG
1 - 2
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
LIM
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
DER
5 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 4
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
DER
0 - 3
LAU
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
IBE
0 - 2
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
DER
1 - 2
SAU
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |