Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COQ
2 - 2
CON
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
MAG
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
USF
0 - 1
CON
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
COB
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
CUR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 2
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DCO
0 - 1
CUR
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CUR
2 - 0
DEP
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DLS
2 - 2
CUR
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |