Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CON
3 - 3
DCO
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CSD
4 - 0
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
COQ
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 1
DCO
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CUR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CUR
0 - 2
CSD
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
MAG
2 - 2
CUR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |