Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 2
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
CON
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 0
CUR
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 1
COQ
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 0
DLS
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 0
COQ
60%
22%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 2
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |