Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DCO
3 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CUR
0 - 1
CON
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
DLS
3 - 3
DEP
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
DLS
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DLS
1 - 2
DCO
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 0
DLS
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |