Concepción vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
9º
6º
20
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
UCO
22%
23%
56%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
CON
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
REN
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IBE
0 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
DLI
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
LAU
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 3
CDP
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DLI
1 - 0
CDP
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
CDM
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GVE
2 - 0
CDP
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |