Concepción vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
NTA
1 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
PUE
3 - 2
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 2
CON
59%
21%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
CDP
2 - 0
CSD
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 0
CDP
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
CDP
3 - 7
PUE
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 0
CDP
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
NTA
3 - 0
CDP
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |