Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
CON
3 - 1
ULC
41%
24%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
PUE
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
ULC
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ANT
0 - 0
IQU
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
CUR
0 - 1
ANT
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ULC
0 - 0
ANT
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
ANT
1 - 0
LOT
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CUR
0 - 2
ANT
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |