Concepción FC vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
AHZ
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
AND
0 - 4
CON
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
JAN
2 - 0
CON
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
SJO
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 2
SOL
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CFE
1 - 1
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
TEX
76%
16%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |