Concepción FC vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
SJO
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
CAG
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
MIT
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
CAG
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
MIT
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SJO
0 - 1
SMA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
SMA
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +2 |