Concepción FC vs Club Atlético Güemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
MIT
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SJO
2 - 3
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CIP
0 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
CIP
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
SMA
34%
28%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
JAN
25%
27%
49%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
CAG
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
JAN
1 - 4
CAG
71%
20%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
SMA
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |