Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/16
Global 3-3
Concepción FC vs Bella Vista Tucuman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
CSG
2 - 1
CON
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
CSG
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
LLR
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 1
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bella Vista Tucuman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BVT
3 - 1
FLO
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BVT
3 - 1
ASP
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
BVT
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 2
BVT
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 0
BVT
12%
18%
71%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | -1 |