Concepción FC vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
GYT
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
CON
74%
18%
8%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MIT
3 - 2
CON
34%
24%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
MIT
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AMT
1 - 1
AND
26%
23%
52%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 1
AMT
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AMT
1 - 2
JAN
13%
23%
63%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CSE
4 - 1
AMT
83%
13%
5%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 0
AMT
80%
15%
6%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | -1 |