Concarneau vs V.Châtillon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PLA
3 - 1
CON
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
SAU
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
AVR
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 4
CON
43%
29%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
PON
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
V.Châtillon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 4
VCH
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
1 - 0
PON
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LES
2 - 0
VCH
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VCH
0 - 1
FON
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |