Concarneau vs Villenave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STA
0 - 0
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
AVR
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
GDB
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 2
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villenave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
NAN
34%
27%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 2
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
STA
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
FON
43%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
LES
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |