Concarneau vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 1
CON
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
PAU
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STL
2 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
LMU
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 2
CON
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 1
VIL
53%
26%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
LMU
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
AVR
22%
26%
53%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |