Concarneau vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FON
2 - 2
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
GUI
12%
21%
67%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GDB
1 - 2
CON
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 2
CON
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 0
LIM
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
STA
3 - 2
TAR
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 1
TAR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
NAN
39%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 0
PAU
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |