Concarneau vs Saint-Malo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
QUE
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ETO
2 - 3
CON
15%
19%
67%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MGG
2 - 0
CON
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
ROD
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Malo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAI
0 - 0
FBB
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
SAI
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAI
1 - 0
LOR
6%
13%
82%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAI
4 - 1
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAI
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |