Concarneau vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAU
1 - 2
CON
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
AVR
0 - 1
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CON
4 - 1
LAV
28%
28%
44%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +5 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
CON
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
LES
25%
26%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 1
AVR
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 2
PLA
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 2
PON
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LES
1 - 0
PLA
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 0
FON
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |