Concarneau vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
CON
74%
19%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
CON
67%
22%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 0
CON
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 1
LOR
51%
25%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
LAV
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
YZE
0 - 1
LOR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |