Concarneau vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
CON
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
AVR
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FLE
1 - 0
CON
22%
26%
53%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DIV
0 - 2
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 2
LAV
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BON
2 - 0
CHA
17%
24%
59%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | -2 |