Concarneau vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
CON
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
VOL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 1
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CON
3 - 2
NAN
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BER
1 - 2
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FLE
1 - 1
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GDB
0 - 2
BER
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BER
2 - 0
ROM
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |