Concarneau Sub 19 vs Guingamp Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
13º
12º
33
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
5 - 0
CON
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 1
CON
71%
16%
12%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
TRE
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
CON
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ANG
5 - 3
CON
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
GUI
26%
22%
51%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 0
SAM
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VER
0 - 3
GUI
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 3
AVR
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUI
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |