Concarneau II vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LAT
2 - 1
CON
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PLA
3 - 2
CON
88%
8%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CON
0 - 0
GUI
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CON
1 - 3
LAN
31%
22%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
PON
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
VAN
0 - 0
ERG
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
DIN
2 - 1
ERG
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ERG
1 - 0
BRE
7%
15%
78%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LAN
3 - 1
ERG
86%
11%
4%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MON
4 - 0
ERG
90%
8%
3%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |