Apertura Guatemala Final
Global 2-9
Comunicaciones vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
COM
5 - 1
LEO
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
LEO
3 - 1
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
COM
3 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LEO
2 - 1
COM
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MUN
2 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
MUN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 0
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |