Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Comunicaciones vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
COM
4 - 0
VEN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
COM
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
LEO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |