Apertura Guatemala Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Comunicaciones vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
COM
4 - 0
VEN
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
5 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |