Complutense Alcala vs Moratalaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Complutense Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
SFN
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
POZ
2 - 0
CAL
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
MOS
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDS
57%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
EFC
1 - 2
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 0
POZ
44%
25%
30%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RVB
3 - 2
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PNT
2 - 1
MOR
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
ALC
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ADP
1 - 0
MOR
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |