Complutense Alcala vs Carranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Complutense Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
CAL
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
AVA
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 1
CAL
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 1
RVE
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JUS
1 - 3
CAL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPB
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
SDH
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
ALC
56%
23%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |