Compiègne vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
14º
13º
29
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
COM
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
SAI
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 2
COM
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
LIL
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LPV
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
VIM
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 1
VAL
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |