Compiègne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.4%
73.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
19.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
18.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
SEN
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
AUX
4 - 1
COM
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
POI
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
IVR
4 - 1
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 6
LIL
1%
12%
87%
|
89 | 23 | 66 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
LIL
4 - 4
NIC
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |