Compiègne vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COM
2 - 2
BRC
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
DRA
3 - 0
COM
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
COM
2 - 1
LEN
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
COM
1 - 0
STR
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 1
MPL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 2
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |