Compiègne vs Longueau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
13º
9º
12
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
55% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
USM
36%
25%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
3 - 2
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
LEN
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ESL
0 - 2
COM
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
AMI
33%
25%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
CHA
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USM
0 - 2
LON
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 2
FEI
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
LON
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |