Como vs Vittoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
COM
1 - 2
PRO
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 2
COM
52%
27%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
COM
0 - 0
ACP
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 1
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
VIT
4 - 1
ACS
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 0
FIA
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
VIT
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPE
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |