Como vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
3.9%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 5
COM
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
GOZ
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
COM
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
INV
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
COM
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 2
ASD
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASD
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
2 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |