Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 0-3
Como vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
COM
1 - 1
PIA
34%
29%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 1
COM
79%
14%
6%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 0
COM
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 0
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 0
COS
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
PAL
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 0
COM
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |