Como vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ASS
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
COM
0 - 2
VNZ
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
ACP
0 - 0
COM
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 1
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 1
VNZ
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 2
TRI
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
TAR
0 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
TRI
0 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |