Como vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
REG
1 - 4
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
3 - 1
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COM
1 - 2
CTT
26%
29%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 3
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
CRO
3 - 1
USC
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
USC
3 - 1
NUO
70%
19%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FRO
2 - 1
USC
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
USC
2 - 1
USA
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |