Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-0
Como vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
30.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
USC
0 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
COM
0 - 0
CAG
36%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CAG
0 - 1
COM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
COM
1 - 2
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
GEN
2 - 0
USC
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
USC
0 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
USC
0 - 0
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
USC
47%
29%
24%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
USC
1 - 1
PAD
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |