Como vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
30.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
COM
0 - 0
VER
25%
32%
43%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
TOR
3 - 1
COM
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
COM
0 - 0
ATL
52%
28%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
LAZ
3 - 2
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
COM
1 - 0
USC
53%
30%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
AVE
1 - 0
LAZ
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
SAM
1 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
AVE
1 - 3
TOR
41%
31%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
ATL
3 - 3
AVE
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
AVE
0 - 0
ACM
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |