Como vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
COM
3 - 0
TAR
63%
25%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
55%
28%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
PES
1 - 0
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
COM
2 - 0
GEN
58%
28%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
REG
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
BRI
1 - 0
AVE
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 0
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |