Como vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
COM
3 - 1
USF
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PAR
3 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
USA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
1 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
USA
4 - 2
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
USA
0 - 3
FCC
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |