Como vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
23.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
FIO
1 - 0
COM
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
VER
0 - 0
COM
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
AVE
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
COM
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
TER
3 - 2
VER
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
TER
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
COM
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
SAM
3 - 3
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |