Como vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AVE
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
FCV
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 2
TAR
40%
31%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 1
USF
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
BEN
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 0
TAR
29%
31%
40%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 0
LEO
58%
26%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |