Como vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
19.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.2%
12%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
55%
28%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
PES
1 - 0
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
COM
2 - 0
GEN
58%
28%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
65%
24%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
REG
51%
30%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
USA
3 - 0
TAR
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 1
VER
31%
34%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
58%
28%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
USF
43%
32%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |